Blog started 2016. Achieved Financial Independence in 2021. Focusing on Spiritual, Mental, Physical and Financial Fitness. Personal journal to record investment decisions for my own reference and in future, for my loved ones who will take over the portfolio. Advertising free as I'm not seeking hits or ad revenue. On the internet anyone can have a pretend portfolio, whether you think this blog is fake or real, doesn't bother me. :)
Tuesday, 31 December 2024
Reflecting on $21k passive income
Dividends Collected: Dec 2024
Saturday, 28 December 2024
2024 Approximate portfolio performance
This sort of acts as a proxy for my SG portfolio though of course I have smaller holdings in various other counters, including Fraser's Logistics Trust which I have been accumulating throughout 2024 and currently losing money on it.
Tuesday, 17 December 2024
Under Armour (Buy after Crash)
- Their announcement that they want to become a more 'premium' brand will probably work, especially in their apparel lines. There is a demand for "pro" or "performance" apparel lines that are one level above the entry level athletic apparel.
- UA is so far behind in shoes I'm not sure if it wants to throw money into R&D to challenge the big guns in road & track running shoes. However, trail running shoes are a possibility because trail is not only about absolute speed (which requires a lot of R&D), but about protection, stability, comfort, and weather resistance. Premium trail running apparel is also a possibility. Nike ACG as a sub-brand hasn't honestly made much inroads and they are not a big sponsor presence for Golden Trails / UTMB.
Returning to my other US holdings NKE, MCD, and LLY, they are all green but the stock market is flatlining. On a valuation basis, I will continue to hold them. I even got some dividends from NKE but because of the 30% withholding tax, one doesn't buy US stocks for the dividend.
Thursday, 5 December 2024
Amundi Index MSCI World S$ fund on POEMS
The hot topic in the forums is "MoneyOwl by Temasek Trust" offering Amundi Index MSCI World S$ (as well the Amundi Global Bond and Amundi Emerging markets) via the POEMs platform. While it looks like a mouthful of jargon, the announcement is significant as it amounts to an undercutting of Endowus, Syfe, FSMOne, etc etc.
I have advised some (less IT and financially savvy) relatives to use their Poems to buy Lion Global All Seasons fund (0.48% expense ratio) which is relatively low cost, S$ denominated balanced fund that fortunately holds S&P500 so it benefited from the never-ending US market rally. But I will be asking them to switch to Amundi.
I have a POEMS account as well so I will dump some money into their cash management account and set up an RSP to deduct from the cash management account. This is ideal for me as I was getting worried my IBKR account size was getting too large and I was looking for a good low cost alternative (SCB is my no.2 account, but it is not low cost because of the high forex charges).
Monday, 2 December 2024
Year-end Health & Fitness Report 2024
As I mentioned during in June, I will issue my investment portfolio report together with a "health report", since "health is wealth." One should not try to increase monetary wealth if it causes health and fitness to decline.
I am pleased to note that I am on track with my fitness goals. I have no plans to aim for a VO2Max increase to elite (top 5%) levels as that might result in overtraining and injury. Instead, I will just do what I am doing now, and we'll see where that takes me. I'm also happy to report that I managed to lose a little bit of weight since June 2024 and my BMI continues to be in the healthy range and a little further from the 23.0 overweight zone.
One thing that I have learnt in my current health journey is that the negativity surrounding ultra processed foods is totally justified. If you are going to spend money on health & fitness, you don't have to spend it on expensive and unnecessary gym memberships. Instead, you should purchase & consume whole foods with as little processing as possible.
Unfortunately for fitness enthusiasts, a lot of protein supplements fall into the borderline ultra-processed category, so if you can eat sashimi instead of a protein bar, that may well be better (Salmon sashimi is cheaper and has lower mercury content than tuna sashimi by the way - so I save my tuna sashimi consumption for my Japan holidays...)
Year-end Portfolio Update 2024
Sunday, 1 December 2024
Financial Independence & Term Insurance
There was a discussion in the forums about Term Insurance with one user "complaining" that the premiums increased significantly past age 62. Actually the premiums usually increase every 5 years by quite a bit, so by the time you hit age 60+, the premiums may more than tripled versus age 40.
The usual response is that at age 62, you should not have any more dependents who need to be 'protected' against your untimely death or TPD.
I have a term policy and since I have set up GIRO payment the premiums get auto-deducted so I haven't paid much attention to it.
But now, after thinking about it, it really seems that Term insurance is not particularly important to me now that I am financially independent with a steady stream of passive income. Furthermore, my cash and cash equivalent holdings exceed my term insurance coverage by quite a bit.
I'll think about it some more, but I should set myself a to-do list to discontinue my term plan within the next few years. After a few years, my passive income should have grown even further (and so will the cash-equivalent holdings), which means there is even less reason to have a term policy
Dividends Collected: Nov 2024
$200k reached for 2024. December is usually a quiet month so this is more or less the final amount plus or minus a couple of thousand.
Tuesday, 19 November 2024
Bought some shares to learn trading
After exiting my positions earlier in NKE and ZM, I had a bit of spare US$ lying around which was earmarked as tuition fees to help me learn trading. I have re-initiated trading positions in NKE, MCD and LLY and added an extra $15k to the tuition fee pool because I will probably need to average down.
Tuesday, 12 November 2024
November Strategy: HK/China and US stocks
The current market narrative is that Trump is bad for China and HK listed ETFs have been hit again, with 2800.HK dropping below $20. This amount of fear is attractive to a contrarian investor like myself. I bought 2000 2800.HK @ $19.83. This is in addition to my regular FSMOne RSP.
Separately, I have been accumulating MCD and NKE, two consumer stocks that were hit by short term losses (surely MCD's food poisoning incident doesn't affect the fundamentals?) and some FLCT REIT. I've also been topping up some of my UK stock holdings such as GSK and Pru.
That's a lot of individual stock purchases for someone who has resolved to buy more World ETFs. I should be resuming World ETF purchasing shortly, just that some individual stocks looked cheap and I couldn't resist....
Thursday, 7 November 2024
Sold ZM @ $80
Exited my position in ZM @ $80 for a US$1.7k profit. Doesn't move the needle much on my net worth, more of me trying to learn/practice trading with relatively small amounts but still large enough that it would be annoying to lose the money.
ZM had a strong run-up recently I guess because of its "AI Assistant"? Anything with AI going up in price?
With companies like Amazon cancelling work from home, better to exit now.
Wednesday, 6 November 2024
US Post-election rally?
I bought more VWRD, VHYD, and NKE earlier this week. I also initiated a small position in McDonalds MCD as I wanted to gain exposure to the consumer sector in case there was a post-election rally.
Based on what CNBC is saying, there is going to be a post-election rally. However, it appears that China stocks will go down as market believes that China tariffs are incoming.
As I've said many times, even if US stocks appear expensive, never underestimate the power of the S&P500.
Sunday, 3 November 2024
Monday, 28 October 2024
Bought NKE, Pru, GSK
While the bulk of my buying has been ETFs, I still occasionally dabble in individual stocks.
I reinitiated a small position in NKE, 100 shares under $80, and prepared to average down further as I have high conviction that fair value >$80.
Topped up PRU. I feel Pru is undervalued, having been hit by negative China sentiment.
Topped up GSK. As the price has been flatlining, its an opportunity to continue to accumulate.
Sunday, 27 October 2024
2025 Holiday Planning
SQ's Annual Time to Fly sale is back for travel period Jan to Sep 2025. I booked two short holidays to Japan and Australia. I was monitoring the pre-sale prices so that I can be 'sure' that the discounts are genuine and they appear to be. SG-Sydney is usually $4.4k but dropped to $3,688 so thats fine. Its an 8 hour flight so its long enough for me to fly Biz. Suites doesn't seem to be part of the sale so not worth it.
I am a regular visitor to Japan but I have never done the "Cherry Blossom" season. For 2025, I have decided to give it a shot with Economy Lite, and will see if I regret it (more people than cherry blossoms?). At least with Krisflyer Gold, I can do priority check-in and security clearance at Osaka KIX, as the economy queues are super long and painful during peak periods.
Remember to set aside some time and funds for 'self-care' activities, such as going on holiday.
Friday, 25 October 2024
Updated my "Which Bank" Page
I did some tidying up and updated my "Which Bank" page with this entry. I am PB status with 3 local banks. Its not that hard to retain PB status even if your funds fall below the specified amount. It doesn't cost the bank much to maintain your PB status since the benefits are minimal and why wouldn't they want to retain HNWI customers?
Here's the entry:
____________________________________________
OCBC Premier Banking: Visa Infinite Lifetime fee waiver. Reasonably attractive Premier savings account (but as soon as I post this, they will probably nerf the interest rate). Dragon Pass 2 free visits a year.
Thursday, 17 October 2024
Lower inflation and rate cuts
The rate cuts are happening, but more importantly, weaker inflation has been reported in the Eurozone and the UK. I have started to deploy my excess U$ into iShares 0-1 Treasury Bond ETF (IBTU) since there doesn't seem to be anywhere else to park the cash. US$ stock prices are scary with new all time highs being reached every day it seems.
Short term US Treasuries seem safer than US equities at the moment and the current yield is reasonable with the website reporting YTM to be 4.6%. Furthermore, any price changes are likely to be to the upside rather than the downside.
However, as I have said in the past, I should not underestimate the US market, so I will continue regular DCA of VWRD / VUSD and other ETFs, but like many others, I wonder when is the next (inevitable) correction?
Finally, I'm more in holiday mode at the moment with a couple of short trips lined up, so I don't plan to do any day trading for the rest of the year, unless something exciting happens...
Sunday, 6 October 2024
Flying Economy with Krisflyer Gold
Saturday, 5 October 2024
REITS: Capitaland Int Comm Trust Rights issue
Surprisingly, the valid acceptances of the rights offering was pretty low at 82.0%. This is despite the strength of the Capitaland brand name and the quality of their portfolio. This meant that I got all the excess that I subscribed for.
As a result, my CICT position is large enough to qualify as a 'medium-sized' holding though I will only update my portfolio page at the end of the year.
REIT rally?
On the other hand, a value investor is more concerned with the fundamentals and whether people want to rent units in the buildings the REITs own, and whether customers (for retail/hospitality), went to visit those premises.
Friday, 27 September 2024
Even HK/China is rallying.
As I have previously noted in my portfolio page, the China market crash downgraded my 2800.HK from 'large' to 'medium.' Given the huge uncertainty with China, I decided to continue to hold and add small amounts every month via the FSMOne RSP.
The patient RSP of China/HK ETFs may have finally borne fruit with the China/HK market finally making a noticeable upward move. The effect of the RSP was to lower my average buying price for the ETFs and thus make it easier to breakeven. If dividends are excluded, I still haven't broken even for 2801 and 2800 yet (green for 3010), but this week's rally helped me get closer to breakeven.
From the graph, the extreme correlation between 2800.HK and 2801.HK continues.
Friday, 20 September 2024
NKE pressed buy instead of sell (need more practice)
Monday, 16 September 2024
Sold some Singtel
Tuesday, 10 September 2024
Adding 3110 to my monthly RSP
Currently I am losing money in HK/China ETFs 2800 and 2801. I am slightly green for my Asia ETF 3010. I have set up an RSP with FSMOne to buy 2800/2801/3010 every month in the hopes of averaging down. Fortunately with zero processing fee/comms, one can RSP small amounts.
One thing I am uncomfortable with is the high concentration of Tencent and Chinese tech in 2801.HK and to a lesser extent 2800.HK. Previously, I could diversify into Vanguards 2805.HK but that was delisted leaving me less choice.
Doing a portfolio review, I have decided to add Global X HSI High Dividend Yield ETF 3110.HK to my RSP. The ETF is doing ok and Global X seems to be staying in HK (always a big risk that US firms like Global X could exit HK market due to political reasons). As it doesn't hold Tencent, it does provide some diversification. TER is moderate at 0.68% and AUM is US$300m+.
Risk
It's exposure to the property sector is 9% and financial sector is 34%. Since the financial sector is indirectly exposed to property, there's that risk as well. Therefore, my addition of the ETF for RSP is certainly not me going 'all in', but adding a small bit of RSP every month. I will continue to be disciplined about putting most of my free cash into World and S&P500 ETFs.
Sep Strategy: Getting ready for the holidays
Monday, 2 September 2024
Dividends Collected: August 2024
Friday, 30 August 2024
$30k in CPF-OA but CPF Millionaire
The title of this post sounds like a typical clickbait title used by influenzas so sorry about that, I couldn't resist 😹
I had a look at my CPF holdings (CPF balances + CPF investments) and discovered that I am now a CPF Millionaire 💸💰
Stock market returns plus attractive T-bill interests rates helped to push my CPF holdings over the one million mark. My two biggest "investments" using CPF money are T-bills and STI ETF. I refunded my housing loan I think just before COVID, which was ok, because I could use the CPF money to buy STI ETF when it crashed below $3 during COVID.
Monday, 26 August 2024
SGX Portfolio Sector Composition
As the existing methods of scraping SGX price data for google sheets no longer works, I have been trying to figure out alternative ways of getting the valuation of my SG stocks. I tried entering them into stockscafe which is ok for the time being but there is a transaction limit for free accounts (i.e. I will not be able to add additional transactions as I have hit the limit), but for now, this is what my SG stock portfolio looks like. Basically, STI ETF, REITs+Capitaland, Three banks, Sembcorp+Comfort, and Singtel 😎
Saturday, 17 August 2024
Cashed in NKE on Friday
I closed my NKE position last Friday. The object was to learn trading which is not only a good time to buy but also a good time to sell. Given the quick run-up in price and the weakness in the sector (Underarmour, Lulu, Onon were clearly not doing as wellas NKE), I decided this was a good time to take profit. So I netted myself US$2250. Not bad for a weeks' 'work.'
My next step is to see whether there is a re-entry opportunity to try to trade NKE again, or whether I should be looking at other counters.
Monday, 12 August 2024
Retirement Goals: v0.1 of my checklist
Tuesday, 6 August 2024
August 2024 Strategy
Markets crashed hard on Monday, on what was essentially no news. CNBC of course offers explanation for all market movements but correlation is not causation
This was followed by a bounce back on Tuesday. Today (Wednesday), it seems that the market hasn't figured out whether to continue crashing or whether to continue rising as if nothing happened.
I did my DCA of VUSD on Monday, then proceeded to pick up some PRU, LGEN and NKE. Yes it seems that I am accumulating quite a bit of Nike.
As influenzas are not really part of Nike's marketing strategy, you don't get a lot of positive press about Nike products. The youtube channels on running and fitness that I watch seem to be sponsored by certain brands who have adopted the 'influenza' strategy. On the other hand, actions speak louder than words and for the numerous youtubers who document their training journey to Boston or London marathon, a lot of them wear Nike shoes though they don't announce the fact too loudly.
So I do like their products and I am long Nike, but I will set an exit price and sell once it is reached. I am also looking at Lululemon and OnOn, but from a value investing standpoint, Nike has better value metrics which Lulu and OnOn are supposed to be 'growth' stocks. But I am doubtful of 'growth' athleisure stocks. Basically, LuLu and OnOn are in the same position that UnderArmor was a few years ago and 'analysts' claiming it will continue to grow and grow. I'm sure they will survive and find a niche, but to increase their growth? Doubtful.
And speaking of fitness, my App tells me that I have moved from top 15% to top 10% which is good. More importantly, since I'm no longer young, the app also measures training load so I can take care not to overtrain and risk injury. Slow and steady is the best.
SCB National Day SGX promo
Saturday, 3 August 2024
Friday, 19 July 2024
Nike Pegasus 40 (and Nike Stock) on sale
When it comes to buying sports equipment , one simple rule of thumb is wait for the new model to come out so that you can buy the old model at a steep discount.💸
With Nike Pegasus 41 just released in Singapore, I managed to pick up a Pegasus 40 in a nice colour for $65.94. Readers will know I managed to pick up a Pegasus 39 previously for $59 but in a not so nice colour.
At these prices, there is really no comparable running shoe from the other brands.
How steep a discount actually depends on the brand. So far, I've only seen Nike offering 40% discounts for the immediate past model. If its a 40% discount for a model that is many generations ago, it means it has been sitting in a warehouse for many years and you don't know how long the shoe foam will last.
Nike Stock?
Monday, 15 July 2024
Health update: Jul 2024
Since Health=Wealth and I just released my July 2024 portfolio review, I am also doing my July 2024 'Health & Fitness' review. No point reaching new heights of wealth without the health.
BMI
While I have made improvements, I am regrettably still overweight, hovering between BMI 23.0-23.1 (because weight varies throughout the day, BMI is a range). Therefore, I am at moderate risk for obesity-related diseases.
My target is to achieve a normal BMI of 22.8-22.9 which will take a bit of willpower and habit change to make it sustainable.
VO2 MAX
I am making good progress with VO2 Max, and my app tells me that I'm in the top 15% for my age and gender which sounds good but one must ask what is the reference population.
There's a high chance (since this is a US-based app) that the baseline could be the US population and according to the CDC, 40% of US adults are obese which is BMI >30.0! This means that the median US adult at the 50th percentile might still be overweight with BMI>25.0. Merely being 'above average' in such population is a very low bar.
Portfolio Update: Jul 2024 (Singtel and Santander!)
Sunday, 7 July 2024
Your A$ and £ dividends are worth more
At the start of the year there were those who were fearful of losing money in foreign stocks because of their currency would depreciate against the S$
I was not one of those who believed that S$ could continuously appreciated against foreign currencies. Hence I was happy to continue to buying foreign stocks and REITs with foreign properties like Capitaland Ascott and Frasers Logistics & Comm Trust.
The recent change of government in the UK is not changing the momentum. Instead, the market seems to be bullish on the new Labour government, and the signs suggest that this will be a Labour government that is more 'centrist' than 'leftist'.
Saturday, 6 July 2024
5th Portfolio Milestone reached: July 2024
It took 18 months and a very nice stock market rally, but I have finally reached my 5th portfolio milestone. In contrast, I reached my 4th portfolio milestone after 26 months which was also pretty good given that my portfolio had to spend time recovering from the COVID crash. A good reminder that time in market is critical for portfolio growth.
Saturday, 29 June 2024
Dividends Collected: June 2024 (new record?)
Another record breaking month of collecting $30k+ dividends thanks to the Euro Financials all paying out this month: LLOY, SAN, ING, HSBC, AV, PRU. Is there some reason they all pay in the same month? I have crossed the $100k mark after 6 months. If this continues, it looks like it will be $200k by the end of the year.
June update (boring update)
Its the end of June and I don't actually have anything interesting to report. With the market at currently high levels, stocks look "expensive" so I have continued to add to VWRD, VHYD, WQDV since the last update. I also bought some LGEN which I had mentioned previously and I am thinking of getting some Prudential (PRU) via its HKSE listing. I currently have some PRU listed on LSE but I am reaching my UK estate duty limit soon.
PRU is another way to bet on a China/HK recovery and it also announced a share buyback.
If you look at the financial ratios/statement for LGEN you would notice a huge drop in earnings in 2023. The report explains that they had to make provisions for revised longevity assumptions - insurance companies may lose money if people live longer. A similar problem occurs with CPF Life.
As I had US$650 spare cash in my IBKR account and someone on the internet recommended PLTR to me, I used that cash to buy 25 shares of PLTR. I have no idea what that is but since this is a price action/momentum play, I don't need to know I guess. Just sell if it goes up by 10%?
Portfolio Update?
I have not done a portfolio update (yet) for June 2024 since there are minimal changes. Maybe physical gold needs to be added thanks to the gold price rally. I read with interest AK/ASSI's recent blogpost where he shared his top holdings. Basically, he is highly concentrated in 3 Singapore banks, 3 REITs, and 2 stocks (Wilmar and Comfort DG). Not the way I would structure my investment portfolio but there are many ways to reach FIRE.
Health=Wealth
Thursday, 13 June 2024
June Strategy
Wednesday, 5 June 2024
Dividends Collected: May 2024
$30k+ Dividends for May 2024 with OCBC, UOB, DBS, Comfort Delgro all paying dividends in the same month!