- $0 fees
- The ETF opened at $356.60, so price of $356.90 I suppose is reasonable. It closed eventually at $357.75
- Exchange rate was 1.27099. The opening and closing rates that day were 1.2663 and 1.2662. So the forex premium is an estimated 0.37%
Blog started 2016. Achieved Financial Independence in 2021. Focusing on Spiritual, Mental, Physical and Financial Fitness. Personal journal to record investment decisions for my own reference and in future, for my loved ones who will take over the portfolio. Advertising free as I'm not seeking hits or ad revenue. On the internet anyone can have a pretend portfolio, whether you think this blog is fake or real, doesn't bother me. :)
Someone in HWZ shared Michael Burry's (The Big Short) post on the Hang Seng Index.
Hong Kong Stocks: Structure & Strategy - by Michael Burry
When I clicked on it, I could read the whole article, but now it seems that most of it is behind a paywall. Anyway, to summarise, the point appears to be that even though the HSI crashed due to various reasons including political ones, the fundamentals and more importantly earnings of HSI companies remained sound and the HSI kept on paying good dividends throughout the crash.
Therefore, a value investor's investment thesis would still be intact, subject to the caveat that the market can remain irrational for longer than an investor can remain liquid. But assuming that you did not use leverage, you could just keep calm and collect dividends.
On a more serious finance-related note, I see that he will be choosing ERS since he is turning 55. It will eventually be my turn to choose. Currently, my thinking is to go for FRS and to invest the difference between FRS and ERS. Based on my parents' health and genes which I have inherited, I should be mentally active for 20++ years so no problem doing DIY investment. DIY investing will also keep my mind active and help fight against dementia.
After 20 years (age 75), I should hopefully have 4x my investment, in which case, if I put that sum into some high-yielding fund, I should be getting a lot more than FRS payouts.
In 2022, I posted that I was still buying Capitaland Ascott Residence Trust and Comfort Delgro and was looking forward to an EPS recovery:
BuyafterCrash: Singapore Stocks I am still buying
ComfortDelgro's EPS got hit bad by COVID.
Fast forward 3 years later to 2025, we can see CDG's EPS continuing to recover with the latest being an EPS of 10.43. This is still lower than pre-COVID. If you are an optimist it just means that CDG still has further room to grow its EPS to pre-COVID levels. If you are a pessimist it means that CDG's management hasn't executed its strategy as well as it should have as we should be back to pre-COVID EPS by now (especially with inflation baked-in).
Finally, it's good to see CDG stating its dividend policy, which is 80% of PATMI. A reasonable number, given that it is a cash rich company. I am happy with my current holdings of CDG and won't buy more. My plan is just to hold it for the long term and collect dividend.