Recently in the forum, there was a query whether Dividend Investing has 'failed', with reference made to the portfolio of certain dividend investor.
In order to determine whether something has failed, you need to set a standard. If the standard is the recent performance of MSCI World, its pretty obvious that someone who only buys Singapore dividend stocks will have 'failed'. However this begs the question why MSCI World is the benchmark for an SG investor who may have other priorities, such as saving up S$ to buy a new home and pay for renovations.
At the same time, it is important to take a hard look at our portfolios and admit when we need to make improvements. Those that simply held onto their highly concentrated SG-REIT portfolios instead of diversifying ended up losing more money than they should have.
At the start of 2022, I admitted to myself that I had underperformed S&P500 and my 2022 New Year's resolution was to start buying more S&P500 and World ETFs:
January 2022 strategy
I am glad I took a hard look at my portfolio and started buying World/US ETFs. As a result, the concentration of REITs in my portfolio dropped drastically.
Measuring Failure for Dividend Investors?
Personally, I feel that success or failure of dividend investing is linked to whether one is able to invest in stocks (including ETFs) that are able to grow their earnings and therefore pay more dividends. Capital gain is not so critical to me since my preferred holding period is forever.
I took a look at the 9 largest SGX-listed stocks that I hold (all of which are 'dividend stocks') to analyse whether they have been able to grow their dividends. Overall, the dividend growth looks healthy. The 3 REITs in the top 9 list showed small dips in their 2024 dividends but nothing catastrophic (compared to their share price declines).
So my quick conclusion is that dividend investing has not "failed" though it has underperformed S&P500.